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Lead, South Dakota 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
NWS Forecast for 11 Miles SW Alzada MT
National Weather Service Forecast for: 11 Miles SW Alzada MT
Issued by: National Weather Service Rapid City, SD
Updated: 2:31 am MDT Apr 25, 2025
 
Overnight

Overnight: A 20 percent chance of showers.  Cloudy, with a low around 32. East wind around 6 mph.
Slight Chance
Showers

Friday

Friday: Cloudy, with a high near 50. East wind 7 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph.
Cloudy

Friday
Night
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 39. Southeast wind 10 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.
Mostly Cloudy

Saturday

Saturday: Cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly sunny, with a high near 70. South wind 10 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.
Decreasing
Clouds

Saturday
Night
Saturday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 46. South wind 6 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 17 mph.
Partly Cloudy

Sunday

Sunday: A 20 percent chance of showers after noon.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 77. South wind 6 to 8 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph.
Mostly Sunny
then Slight
Chance
Showers
Sunday
Night
Sunday Night: Showers likely, mainly after midnight.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 43. South wind 8 to 11 mph becoming northwest after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 16 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Showers
Likely

Monday

Monday: Showers.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 52. Breezy, with a northwest wind 13 to 21 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph.
Showers and
Breezy

Monday
Night
Monday Night: A chance of showers before midnight.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 32.
Chance
Showers then
Partly Cloudy
Lo 32 °F Hi 50 °F Lo 39 °F Hi 70 °F Lo 46 °F Hi 77 °F Lo 43 °F Hi 52 °F Lo 32 °F

 

Overnight
 
A 20 percent chance of showers. Cloudy, with a low around 32. East wind around 6 mph.
Friday
 
Cloudy, with a high near 50. East wind 7 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph.
Friday Night
 
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 39. Southeast wind 10 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.
Saturday
 
Cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly sunny, with a high near 70. South wind 10 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.
Saturday Night
 
Partly cloudy, with a low around 46. South wind 6 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 17 mph.
Sunday
 
A 20 percent chance of showers after noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 77. South wind 6 to 8 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph.
Sunday Night
 
Showers likely, mainly after midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 43. South wind 8 to 11 mph becoming northwest after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 16 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Monday
 
Showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 52. Breezy, with a northwest wind 13 to 21 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph.
Monday Night
 
A chance of showers before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 32.
Tuesday
 
Mostly sunny, with a high near 63.
Tuesday Night
 
A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 41.
Wednesday
 
A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 58.
Wednesday Night
 
A slight chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 37.
Thursday
 
A slight chance of showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 61.

 

Forecast from NOAA-NWS for 11 Miles SW Alzada MT.

Weather Forecast Discussion
282
FXUS63 KUNR 250733
AFDUNR

Area Forecast Discussion For Western SD and Northeastern WY
National Weather Service Rapid City SD
133 AM MDT Fri Apr 25 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Warming temperatures through the weekend

- Progressive and unsettled flow over the forecast period


&&

.DISCUSSION...(Today Through Thursday)
Issued at 102 AM MDT Fri Apr 25 2025


Upper air models show troughing over the west coast, with weak
ridging over the northern Rockies, southwest flow over the FA.
Surface charts depict high pressure over eastern MT and a low over
southeastern WY this morning. Radar shows lingering light showers
around the Black Hills into southwestern and south central SD.
Temperatures sit in the 30s with light and variable winds.

Multiple impulses will keep active weather through the weekend.
Showers will continue today, mainly over the Black hills into
southwestern SD where models show the better forcing and weak
instability. Low level WAA continues through the weekend, with
more isolated to scattered showers possible on Saturday. Better
chance for widespread moisture returns Sunday and Monday. Upper
trough digs into the western CONUS and shifts eastward over the
weekend. Strong WAA ahead of the trough will bring temperatures
will bring temperatures into the 70s and possibly low 80s for
Sunday. Meanwhile models show mid-level gulf moisture injecting
into the central and northern plains. Convective models support
modest CAPE and shear that could bring severe storms Sunday
afternoon ahead of the main system, with precipitation
overspreading the FA later Sunday as the upper trough slides east
over the Rockies. NAEFS percentiles put the FA in the 99th
percentile for QPF on Sunday into Monday, while LREF probabilities
for 0.25" of 24hr/QPF show widespread 50-70 percent. Long range
models show a bit of a dry period towards mid-week, but another
impulse may impact the FA towards the end of the work-week. As far
as temperatures are concerned, after our warm Sunday, associated
cold front with that early week system will drop temperatures back
to seasonable the remainder of the forecast period.



&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS Through 06Z Friday Night)
Issued At 1058 PM MDT Thu Apr 24 2025

Widespread IFR conditions and transient LIFR conditions will
continue tonight and into Friday morning in rain/fog/low clouds.
Conditions will improve somewhat Friday afternoon, especially on
the western SD plains; however, IFR conditions could linger across
the BH/SW SD/NE WY through Friday night.

&&

.UNR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SD...None.
WY...None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION/KEY MESSAGES...Dye
AVIATION...Pojorlie
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Forecast Discussion from: NOAA-NWS Script developed by: El Dorado Weather






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